Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.424376 0.489617 0.560593 0.643416 0.737282 0.840228 0.961547
2025-09-14 0.304038 0.390669 0.494266 0.626691 0.790821 0.986870 1.238030
2025-09-21 0.235566 0.328238 0.447158 0.609699 0.824639 1.097508 1.468260
2025-09-28 0.190650 0.284365 0.411906 0.596127 0.852944 1.195388 1.683045
2025-10-05 0.166257 0.262934 0.401288 0.610693 0.915835 1.339669 1.967066
2025-10-12 0.151480 0.252320 0.403165 0.640998 1.001124 1.519207 2.311930
2025-10-19 0.135930 0.237764 0.396552 0.656614 1.064615 1.670797 2.626763
2025-10-26 0.121060 0.221858 0.385341 0.662862 1.112941 1.801980 2.919398
2025-11-02 0.107103 0.205299 0.370693 0.661210 1.147404 1.913030 3.187568
2025-11-09 0.093955 0.188179 0.352817 0.651706 1.167235 2.001224 3.424530
2025-11-16 0.082811 0.173048 0.336393 0.642444 1.185694 2.087211 3.662231
2025-11-23 0.071581 0.156114 0.314652 0.621189 1.180994 2.133621 3.836648
2025-11-30 0.068502 0.154989 0.322179 0.654217 1.275360 2.354975 4.322627
2025-12-07 0.059702 0.140975 0.303700 0.636992 1.277919 2.419150 4.545220
2025-12-14 0.052106 0.128333 0.286300 0.619727 1.278303 2.478616 4.762416
2025-12-21 0.045862 0.117684 0.271574 0.605950 1.283563 2.546360 4.997708
2025-12-28 0.042894 0.114065 0.271035 0.620735 1.345168 2.721121 5.438108
2026-01-04 0.041485 0.113929 0.277911 0.651494 1.440728 2.965264 6.021474
2026-01-11 0.039011 0.110820 0.277849 0.667343 1.507111 3.157820 6.518938
2026-01-18 0.036088 0.106138 0.273663 0.673684 1.554112 3.315495 6.958643
2026-01-25 0.032941 0.100375 0.266266 0.672007 1.583776 3.440417 7.341383
2026-02-01 0.029646 0.093690 0.255869 0.662362 1.595310 3.529402 7.658026
2026-02-08 0.026717 0.087543 0.246036 0.652962 1.606398 3.617778 7.978056